Finding Oscar Winners the Statistical way - 100% Correct in 2009 !
Many film critic associations give out their awards to Best Picture, Actor etc. every year. Some of these associations are small and some are very large. Some look only at animation or writing whilst others look at all the award categories that the Academy looks at. Although each association nominate and award the film or actor that they think deserves their honour that year some of the results can be very similar to the awards given out by the Academy.
I have collated all the major award results over the last five years and checked these against the Oscars. Some perform better in predicting the Best Picture than the Best Actress where others excel in predicting the Best Animated Feature Film. I have measured this success and devised a points system, based on each association's five year track record, to allow a good prediction of the winners of each category. When all the precursor awards are in we will have the predictions for this year's Academy Awards.
2008 was a great success with 70% of the top ranked actually winning the Oscar with 2009 going even better getting all the ten top awards correct 100% !!!! |
Awards In
Austin Film Critics Association
Boston Society of Film Critics
Chicago Film Critics Association
Dallas Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Florida Film Critics Circle
Los Angeles Film Critics
National Board of Review
New York Film Critics Circle
New York Film Critics Online
Phoenix Film Critics
St Louis Film Critics Association
San Diego Film Critics Society
San Francisco Film Critics
Satellite
Southeastern Film Critics
Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Awards Still To Come
Annie Awards
BAFTA
Broadcast Film Critic Association
Directors Guild of America
Golden Globes
Las Vegas Film Critics
National Society of Film Critics
Producers Guild Association
Screen Actors Guild
Writers Guild of America
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