What the Award Points mean.

Many film critic associations give out their awards to Best Picture, Actor etc. every year. Some of these associations are small and some are very large. Some look only at animation or writing whilst others look at all the award categories that the Academy looks at. Although each association nominate and award the film or actor that they think deserves their honour that year some of the results can be very similar to the awards given out by the Academy.
I have collated all the major award results over the last five years and checked thes against the Oscars. Some perform better in predicting the Best Picture then the Best Actress where others excel in predicting the Best Animated Feature Film. I have measured this success and devised a points system, based on each associations five year track record, to allow a good prediction of the winners of each category. When all the precursor awards are in we will have the predictions for this years Academy Awards.

The precursor awards I use for prediciton are as follows:
Annie Awards
BAFTA
Boston Society of Film Critics
Broadcast Film Critic Assoociation
Chicago Film Critics Association
Dallas Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Directors Guild
Florida Film Critics Circle
Golden Globes
Golden Satellite
Los Angeles Film Critics
Las Vegas Film Critics
National Board of Review
National Society of Film Critics
New York Film Critics Association
New York Film Critics Online
Phoenix Film Critics
Producers Guild Association
San Diego Film Critics Society
San Francisco Film Critics
Screen Actors Guild
Southeastern Film Critics
Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Writers Guild